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Hurdle rates in emerging markets should end in tiers

The industry standard creates misalignment problems and needs rethinking for growth investors, says fund investor Dave Richards.

In my role as an emerging market fund manager investing both in operating companies as well as other emerging market fund managers (and their funds), I have had dozens of conversations about fund manager performance compensation over the past years.

I strongly believe the conversation needs to change.

Most of the institutional fund investors investing in emerging market private equity (and venture capital) are investing the bulk of their capital in growth and mid-cap funds of $300 million-plus. For these larger funds, they are rightly concerned about (huge) fees, both for operations (management fees), as well as for performance (profit sharing, aka carry or carried interest).

These fund managers are generally investing in mature companies, which have fairly predictable profit expectations assuming competent investment decisions, support of companies and exit planning. This class of company is not very different than many listed companies, with the big exception of lack of liquidity increasing the risk. That’s probably the best argument for requiring a hurdle rate (aka preferred return) as a way of motivating GPs to focus on a timely exit.

“The GP may then overlook some great deals with a higher return potential but a longer hold period due to the hurdle threat. This is not the lens LPs should want the GP to be using.”

Dave Richards

Most sub-$100 million emerging market PE/VC funds are investing in companies at their early-stage or early-growth stage. They have longer initial investment periods; typically, four years vs a later stage VC or PE fund at two-to-three years. Managers are intentionally investing in companies that have higher risk, along with higher return potential. Also, they are expecting to hold these investments longer, often doubling down along the way in order to participate in growing value with reduced risk. Done well, this long-term investment strategy results in 3x or better cash-on-cash returns for the investor with 20-30 percent net IRRs or more. But in less rosy situations, hurdle rates can incent managers to take decisions that reduce these otherwise excellent return potentials.

There are well-known GP/LP misalignment problems with the “carry with hurdle rate” model for PE/VC in general:

  • Incentivises shorter-term view with less risk-taking. Every time the GP calls capital, the hurdle clock starts ticking. The GP may then overlook some great deals with a higher return potential but a longer hold period due to the hurdle threat. This is not the lens LPs should want the GP to be using.
  • Incentivises more risk-taking when forecast looks bad. After the investment period, if a GP ever feels like they won’t exceed hurdle rate, they are incentivised to start making more risky investments in order to try to earn some carry. Taken to an extreme, they could be effectively using LP money as gambling money with limited downside for themselves.
  • Lower incentive to achieve returns when carry under water. Another logical reaction when no carry seems possible is for the GP to focus efforts elsewhere, looking to do as little as possible to return capital with a modest IRR for LPs, knowing that they have no upside. In such scenarios, they also are incentivised to hold on to assets longer because they are typically paid management fees based on net assets under management.

One can reasonably argue that high-quality managers in the situations above will continue to do the best they can to provide LPs with the highest return possible to protect their reputation and hopefully have a case to make for follow-on funds. However, with a substantial percentage of funds in the industry performing poorly (sub-2 MOIC with IRRs under 8 percent), one simply cannot discount that these misaligned actions have taken and/or will take place.

TIERED CARRY CREATES SEAMLESS ALIGNMENT

We believe that a better model to compensate GPs to align interests with LPs is to replace a “carry with hurdle” model with a “tiered carry” model. Tiered carry provides a lower amount of profit-sharing for GPs when the fund profits are lower and a higher level of profit-sharing when profits are higher. For instance:

  • For fund returns above 1x and up to 1.5x, GP earns 10 percent carry
  • For fund returns above 1.5 and up to 2.0x, GP earns 20 percent carry
  • For fund returns above 2x and up to 2.5x, GP earns 25 percent carry
  • For fund returns above 2.5x, GP earns 30 percent carry

The ranges of fund returns and carry percentage can of course be negotiated. And you can also negotiate whether there is catch-up or not.

TIERED CARRY vs HURDLE

Advantages of tiered carry vs hurdle include:

  • Encourages GP to take appropriate risk to seek higher fund returns
  • Fully aligns GP and LPs in all scenarios
  • Profit-sharing level varies with profits, below to above market
  • No edge-case bad incentives – GPs always have a reason to try to get more returns
  • GP incentivised to invest smartly; is rewarded increasingly

The only “downside” scenario for LPs with the tiered carry is when the fund returns are modest (eg, below a perceived minimum hurdle level). But with the tiered carry model, this scenario is also much less likely to occur as the GP is incentivised to maximise overall fund returns in almost every scenario.

More GPs and LPs need to have conversations about how to align their interests … and one of the topics should be performance compensation with tiered carry as a serious option on the table for consideration.

Dave Richards is co-founder and managing partner of Capria, a fund investor backing early- and early-growth-stage venture capital and SME finance funds based in emerging markets in Africa, Asia and Latin America.

 

Photo credit: McKay Savage